0xcb78259d88449ac1b86188818cdca7e185e1e180
0xcb78259d88449ac1b86188818cdca7e185e1e180
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$211.01
Realised
$71.89
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Canva IPO before 2027?
478 shares @ 68.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$406.21
$78.85
- YES
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
429 shares @ 70.0¢·now 89.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$384.61
$84.61
- NO
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
139 shares @ 66.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$112.71
$20.87
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
300 shares @ 27.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$70.49
$-10.50
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$58.50
$8.52
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
119 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.38
$-0.12
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
480 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.68
$-0.60
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
19 shares @ 75.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.35
$-14.05
- YES
Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
158 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.32
$-0.95
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$304.50Jun 8, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.09May 27, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.27May 27, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.14May 27, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.18May 27, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.18May 27, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.24May 27, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.04May 26, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.01May 26, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.12May 26, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.00May 26, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$190.24May 26, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$27.00May 25, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$23.49May 25, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.02May 25, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$17.01May 25, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.47May 25, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$12.32May 19, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$38.18May 18, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$51.24May 18, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $49.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.