Deserted-Papaya
0xcb88529b180ff94e8cf8c85358d3776a687a6b99
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$217.88
Total PnL
$-207.27
Realised
$12.81
Win rate
43%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$112.69
$62.53
- NO
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
99 shares @ 29.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$66.83
$38.12
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?
24 shares @ 71.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.88
$3.84
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
21 shares @ 55.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.70
$2.37
- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$-0.03
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.99
$0.06
- YES
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
3 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$0.58
$-0.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
4 shares @ 3.8¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.19
$0.05
- YES
Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-3.29
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
342 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-74.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$1.00May 20, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?$1.00May 20, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00May 20, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMAztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?$4.00May 20, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.00May 20, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$47.86May 20, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Day Care" or "Daycare" this week? (January 11)$78.00May 20, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$130.00May 20, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$838.00May 20, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?$8.45Apr 21, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLVentuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$4.53Apr 21, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLVentuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$7.31Apr 21, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$20.77Feb 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$254.20Feb 8, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?$7.00Feb 8, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$17.01Feb 8, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$7.98Feb 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$7.98Feb 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$7.98Feb 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$8.40Feb 8, 15:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $117.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.