Lively-Output
0xcb8a85cf7644177fc4ddb295980caee9eeb52fbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$342.00
Total PnL
$-321.22
Realised
$2.35
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?
200 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$188.00
$16.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$154.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
310 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
47 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
33 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
32 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?$152.09May 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?$1.94May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?$173.69May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$2.10May 17, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$9.62May 17, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.17May 17, 09:16 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.37May 17, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$3.92May 16, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$4.37May 16, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.16May 16, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.10May 16, 20:42 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.59May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?$500.00May 14, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?$455.50May 14, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?$285.00May 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?$60.00May 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?$150.00May 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?$15.26May 12, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$18.87May 12, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.03May 12, 09:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $35.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".