Ajar-Addition
0xcbd9b436fcb9d130d6db0f551f803f5ffef178b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.91
Total PnL
$-14.20
Realised
$-2.10
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$1.00Jun 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.68Jun 12, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05May 25, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.31May 25, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?$1.00May 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?$0.37May 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?$1.04May 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?$1.00May 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$1.00May 12, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00May 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.23May 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $0.73May 11, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.73May 11, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 11, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$1.00May 10, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00May 10, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$1.16May 10, 05:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 22:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.