0xcbe17d2ffbab189a2c5fbf916dec962d8f53e36b
0xcbe17d2ffbab189a2c5fbf916dec962d8f53e36b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$29.32
Total PnL
$-813.36
Realised
$-34.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3450 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.32
$-630.69
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
1584 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-124.66
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?
529 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?
172 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$27.00May 3, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$35.00May 2, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$2.60Apr 28, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$40.00Apr 28, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$0.50Apr 26, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$1.03Apr 26, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$0.53Apr 26, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$0.53Apr 26, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.07Apr 25, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$4.90Apr 24, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$4.90Apr 24, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$4.90Apr 24, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.62Apr 24, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$136.47Apr 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$4.00Apr 21, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.00Apr 21, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.