Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
-1.8pp
24h Vol
$20.16
Liquidity
$21.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 110.1h
- 09:52SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 110h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 4¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 3¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).