Expert-Cottage
0xcc0b99db435a205d9ebd91d869ce91381ef823de
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.94
Total PnL
$-29.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. 49ers
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Apr 30, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Apr 30, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00Apr 30, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$1.01Apr 30, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 23, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Broncos$1.00Jan 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Seahawks$1.00Jan 23, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMObama federally charged in 2025?$1.05Jan 23, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$1.15Jan 23, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$1.23Jan 23, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$1.30Jan 23, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?$1.64Jan 23, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. 49ers$5.00Nov 25, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Bengals$3.57Nov 25, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$1.09Oct 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.66Oct 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) say "Inflation" during earnings call?$1.00Oct 22, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Bengals$1.00Oct 22, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Chiefs$1.00Oct 22, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPackers vs. Steelers$1.00Oct 22, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".