Young-Threshold
0xcc141483c5d2fa8c5d1acfad1a46433d8545c02a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$57.23
Total PnL
$-29.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
18 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.09
$0.09
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
14 shares @ 70.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.53
$2.53
- NO
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.13
$3.13
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.90
$2.90
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 78.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.11
$1.11
- NO
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.73
$0.73
- NO
Will Vance say "Russia" during Air Force Academy Address?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Vance say "Commitment" during Air Force Academy Address?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Vance say "Epic Fury" during Air Force Academy Address?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "Navy" during Air Force Academy Address?$1.01May 27, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "Commitment" during Air Force Academy Address?$1.02May 27, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "War" 7+ times during Air Force Academy Address?$1.00May 27, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Air Force Academy Address?$1.01May 27, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "Russia" during Air Force Academy Address?$1.02May 27, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "Iraq" during Air Force Academy Address?$1.02May 27, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "Epic Fury" during Air Force Academy Address?$1.02May 27, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.00May 25, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?$2.17May 25, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?$1.67May 25, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?$1.33May 25, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$1.15May 24, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?$1.01May 24, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?$1.02May 24, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?$1.02May 24, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.33May 23, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$1.14May 22, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$1.00May 21, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Cuba" this week?$1.20May 19, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 19, 14:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 15:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".