Positive-Data
0xcc1885a342736dec628058527f7e0352f9ebf73c
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$553.05
Total PnL
$-6.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
233 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$200.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
253 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?
261 shares @ 38.3¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$96.61
$-3.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?
242 shares @ 24.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$56.96
$-3.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?$62.26Jul 31, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?$103.09Jul 31, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$200.00Jul 31, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$200.00Jul 31, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$274.73Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$202.72Jul 29, 16:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$700.06Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$244.50Jul 15, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 15, 03:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $138.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.