Envious-Protection
0xcc30684819e3f51641cdff9383cb6f70d4fd4387
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$2.72
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$0.10
- NO
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.34
$0.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2830 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
2406 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Ethereum all time high by October 31?
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2375 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
2100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2001 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will CDA win 28 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?
225 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-112.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$41.37May 28, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.70May 28, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?$1.99May 28, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.52May 28, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.56May 28, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.10May 28, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.13May 28, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$2.15May 28, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?$2.65May 28, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 8?$2.75May 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$2.13Apr 30, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.56Apr 30, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.10Apr 30, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.72Apr 30, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.53Apr 30, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?$2.01Apr 30, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1.28Apr 30, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.13Apr 30, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 8?$2.74Apr 30, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?$2.60Apr 30, 03:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.