Threadbare-Pilaf
0xcc4dbf16b4a5d1d6c36623c01559aa40b8fd3e59
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$887.41
Total PnL
$246.70
Realised
$294.37
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$243.50
$43.50
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
620 shares @ 16.0¢·now 36.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.44
$125.24
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 15.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$158.00
$58.00
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1880 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.48
$11.28
- YES
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
868 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$73.76
$-13.02
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
230 shares @ 27.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.75
$-33.95
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1320 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.78
$1.98
- YES
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4662 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.32
$-16.32
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$15.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
104 shares @ 42.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.89
$-33.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$40.32Jun 1, 11:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.41Jun 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$44.79May 31, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $50.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.