Robust-Thump
0xcc980f9010456aed543ea54cacdba939c47ea38c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.15
Total PnL
$-592.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 20?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 42.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.43
$-0.57
- CANADIENS
Penguins vs. Canadiens
1200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-588.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa by September 30?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 20?$1.00Feb 18, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 18, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.02Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$1.08Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?$1.09Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$1.14Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?$1.37Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMEU sanctions on Israel by December 31?$1.45Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31?$1.54Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$1.64Feb 18, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 30, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Oct 30, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?$1.00Oct 15, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: September$1.08Oct 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Oct 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Oct 13, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $122.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.