Candid-Waist
0xccf1cf13817469fe6d54ad9f44e51de8e8c120cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$141.53
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-89.86
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
140 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$140.15
$24.82
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
246 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.23
$-51.69
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.16
$-9.84
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
4907 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-44.99
- YES
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
4067 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-121.04
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2589 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
2362 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-592.83
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?
2046 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- NO
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
1520 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-286.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.87Apr 16, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$9.49Apr 16, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Apr 14, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$0.00Apr 14, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.00Apr 14, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?$0.00Apr 14, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?$0.00Apr 14, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.38Apr 14, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$43.05Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$32.31Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 85% and 90%?$20.74Mar 24, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 85% and 90%?$45.63Mar 24, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Danish People’s Party win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$50.00Mar 24, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Danish People’s Party win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$5.00Mar 24, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Danish People’s Party win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$10.00Mar 24, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$15.00Mar 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$55.07Mar 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$124.00Mar 8, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 8, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $45.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".