Frivolous-Debris
0xcd1b8d314efa3f82a3b85c62c621b548b4d4652b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$113.20
Total PnL
$-59.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$44.02
$-5.98
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Spurs
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$27.03
$17.03
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
35 shares @ 28.5¢·now 53.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$18.75
$8.75
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
51 shares @ 9.7¢·now 7.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after December 2025 meeting?
1171 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-35.50
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?
124 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-36.90
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 4, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 3, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 3, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.08Jun 3, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$10.19Jun 3, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.21May 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.51May 21, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$5.18May 20, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$51.08May 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$251.92May 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$190.68May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$4.02May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?$0.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$4.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$18.09May 17, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$18.92May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$1.00Jan 8, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?$3.30Jan 8, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.67Jan 8, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Dec 30, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $27.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".