Disloyal-Omelet
0xcd1c59f55401336462f8a144e90b2124cb1f61d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$697.06
Total PnL
$-258.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1822 shares @ 16.5¢·now 26.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$477.29
$177.29
- YES
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?
3193 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.11
$-18.86
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
64 shares @ 85.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.91
$2.91
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 32.5¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.00
$-32.00
- YES
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
110 shares @ 27.2¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.34
$-15.65
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1200 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-343.20
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
800 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$300.00Jun 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$166.41Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$300.00Jun 10, 14:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.57Jun 1, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$219.50May 31, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$127.23May 31, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$7.00May 31, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $237.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.