Ample-Covariate
0xcd4ecd1d27e30dfef72c5476bc425d30cde8fa12
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-172.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
1600 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
521 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.71Feb 16, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLReya FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.72Feb 16, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.47Feb 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.88Feb 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$4.30Feb 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$6.00Feb 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3.96Feb 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?$8.06Feb 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$1.50Feb 16, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$15.66Feb 16, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$10.00Dec 29, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$0.00Dec 29, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$34.48Dec 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Dec 7, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Dec 7, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??$12.00Dec 7, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.00Dec 7, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$10.00Dec 7, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$0.00Dec 7, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$34.48Dec 7, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".