0xcd6c653ff9d56155a30a0c4b5bc67c69388271b2
0xcd6c653ff9d56155a30a0c4b5bc67c69388271b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$40.42
Total PnL
$-26.14
Realised
$17.68
Win rate
30%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
18 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.64
$16.58
- NO
Will Stormers win?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$15.00
$13.95
- NO
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
11 shares @ 8.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$6.36
$5.49
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.96
$-0.05
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.39
$-0.68
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
12 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.04
$-0.20
- NO
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.02
$-0.99
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 30?
202 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 1?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.43Jun 1, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?$0.24May 31, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$0.22May 31, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?$0.01May 30, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.90May 30, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.25May 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?$0.60May 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?$0.40May 30, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.01May 30, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?$0.10May 30, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$1.01May 30, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.01May 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.87May 30, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.06May 30, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?$0.10May 30, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.00May 30, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$0.08May 30, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$0.48May 30, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$0.12May 30, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$0.45May 30, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.