Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Probability
94¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.4pp
24h Vol
$104.00
Liquidity
$19.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1080.2h
- 23:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1080h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate A win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate C win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate E win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate G win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate I win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate K win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate M win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate O win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $7.9M
- 2¢-0.5pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $659.1K
- 44¢-4.8pp
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $600.2K
- 5¢-1.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $440.6K
- 23¢+5.5pp
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Politics · Vol $437.4K
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $393.0K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).