Electric-Guarantee
0xcd9661393d5a92d3b2ff3c3e1d9c26df11759ee4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-234.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
988 shares @ 66.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$845.12
$189.13
- YES
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
5000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$425.00
$-75.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
748 shares @ 53.5¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$355.17
$-44.83
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 74.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$248.61
$48.61
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
259 shares @ 72.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$216.63
$27.63
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
251 shares @ 71.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$209.41
$29.42
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
195 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$164.67
$14.67
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
242 shares @ 41.3¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.10
$62.10
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
683 shares @ 47.6¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$157.11
$-168.36
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
155 shares @ 42.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.59
$81.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by December 31?$102.00Jun 14, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$100.00Jun 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$142.87Jun 14, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$58.66Jun 14, 13:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$61.00Jun 8, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$60.67Jun 8, 15:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$54.00Jun 2, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$50.00Jun 2, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $69.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.