Organic-Introduction
0xcdac3bb960cabb5fb16c624e20dd12a680fd012d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$192.82
Total PnL
$-7.52
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
178 shares @ 55.9¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$138.73
$39.23
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
79 shares @ 60.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.25
$5.25
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
41 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.37May 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.02May 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$1.00May 16, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$30.00May 16, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$18.00May 16, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$0.94May 13, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.03May 12, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.07May 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.98May 12, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.03May 12, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$50.66May 12, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$1.03May 12, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.11May 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.01May 12, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$0.65May 12, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.12May 11, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$30.57May 11, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$10.29May 11, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$2.10May 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$51.04May 11, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $17.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".