Meaty-Playroom
0xcdcd444f9b9016e3ca575cb98165071d3d907865
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$560.64
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-330.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
228 shares @ 44.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$178.61
$78.61
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
297 shares @ 60.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$154.19
$-23.72
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
200 shares @ 24.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.00
$37.00
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
402 shares @ 18.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$82.51
$8.51
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 46.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$42.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
317 shares @ 6.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.32
$-9.68
- NO
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
13 shares @ 72.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.02
$-1.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 10?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
1800 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.80
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$405.41Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.2KJun 1, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.1KMay 26, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$300.00May 26, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$401.26May 2, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$11.70Apr 17, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?$40.00Apr 17, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$96.91Apr 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$103.09Apr 16, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$28.60Apr 15, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$60.00Apr 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$180.78Apr 15, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$70.00Apr 14, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$100.00Apr 9, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$35.61Apr 8, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$0.45Apr 8, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$44.55Apr 8, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$39.40Apr 8, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$1.3KApr 8, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$187.87Apr 7, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $176.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.