Watchful-Whack
0xce2f3c1729dbc4f9e9498a94d2c1fcdd7aa5d648
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$528.29
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$93.29
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- CIRYL GANE
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
347 shares @ 50.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$175.26
$0.27
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
235 shares @ 42.6¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.86
$13.86
- JUSTIN GAETHJE
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$48.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2044 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$48.03
$-8.98
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 29.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$30.30
$-27.70
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.43
$6.43
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
952 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
341 shares @ 4.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.22
$2.22
- NO
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?
17 shares @ 61.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.96
$6.60
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1875 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.94
$-14.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.43Jun 12, 14:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$50.75Jun 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$50.75Jun 11, 14:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$51.20Jun 10, 12:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20.78Jun 8, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$20.79Jun 8, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$31.18Jun 8, 06:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$76.10Jun 4, 04:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$103.96Jun 2, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $86.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.