Classic-Parallelogram
0xce4d7123b294829c505302800fc7bc0590b3d0e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
194
Open notional
$21.0K
Total PnL
$475.36
Realised
$-125.45
Win rate
53%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 194- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
1000 shares @ 88.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$997.76
$111.98
- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 95.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$967.15
$13.68
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1150 shares @ 75.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$960.25
$87.75
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
1087 shares @ 64.6¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$875.14
$172.89
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
700 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$681.18
$10.44
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
520 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$497.38
$-2.43
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$496.25
$36.25
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
500 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$495.24
$23.55
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 82.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$462.50
$49.50
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
450 shares @ 91.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$442.57
$31.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$1.21Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$2.20Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$0.99Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$2.99Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$6.90Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$8.50Jun 13, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Jun 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$1.61Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?$0.33Jun 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steven Elliott be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?$0.05Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$100.00Jun 13, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$26.28Jun 13, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$36.25Jun 13, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$74.00Jun 13, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$37.50Jun 13, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$7.60Jun 13, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$7.70Jun 13, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$1.46Jun 13, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Schwarze be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$1.80Jun 13, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?$0.51Jun 13, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.