Empty-Loincloth
0xce51faedfae062d3992250b0194c227182b9b8ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.33
Total PnL
$-7.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during April press conference?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$3.33
$2.33
- NO
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 30?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton announce she's running for president in 2025?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.25May 6, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 30, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00Apr 30, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Apr 30, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?$0.00Apr 30, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$3.57Apr 30, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.05Apr 29, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$2.06Apr 29, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.04Apr 29, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$1.04Apr 29, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?$1.04Apr 29, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?$1.03Apr 29, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$1.03Apr 29, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Job" 15+ times during April press conference?$1.03Apr 29, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.05Apr 29, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before July?$0.03Jun 27, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Champions League Final be decided in a penalty shoot-out?$0.00Jun 8, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval >45% on June 1?$0.00Jun 8, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval >45% on June 1?$0.00Jun 8, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Champions League Final be decided in extra time?$0.00Jun 2, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.