Thick-Outrun
0xce9b16d0b88f3b071a43461f58a40190f2fefead
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$81.97
Total PnL
$-5.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?
88 shares @ 92.9¢·now 87.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$77.40
$-4.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
62 shares @ 6.9¢·now 5.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.47
$-0.81
- NO
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
40 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.10
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?$25.08May 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?$56.67May 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.28May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.22May 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$93.67May 13, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$93.48May 13, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$102.13May 13, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$102.23May 12, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$85.05May 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$11.38May 12, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$73.94May 12, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$2.32May 12, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$1.15May 12, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$3.67May 12, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.43May 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$5.57May 11, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$8.44May 11, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$6.25May 11, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.27May 11, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.88May 11, 02:10 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $39.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 04:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".