Ornery-Heritage
0xceb6e613909c1fbbf5e2f5fa0d9b7635e8e1c637
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$316.92
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-929.39
Win rate
0%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
231 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$231.49
$32.29
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.75
$3.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?
25 shares @ 39.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$25.25
$15.25
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
14 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.38
$3.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 4?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$12.05
$2.05
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
1235 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- UNDER
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5
346 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?
202 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-76.20
- NO
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?
139 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-61.03
- NO
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?
133 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-77.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?$10.30May 4, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?$9.31May 4, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in April?$40.53May 4, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$52.66May 4, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 4?$10.08May 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 4?$10.30May 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 1?$2.05Apr 30, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?$5.12Apr 29, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?$4.76Apr 29, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?$5.13Apr 29, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 30?$2.10Apr 29, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on April 28?$49.98Apr 29, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 30?$5.20Apr 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 28?$20.00Apr 27, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 28?$5.94Apr 27, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on April 28?$49.55Apr 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?$20.00Apr 25, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?$10.00Apr 25, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?$9.34Apr 25, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?$4.90Apr 24, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $18.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.