Lawful-Dredger
0xcef57fdefc4991640072675fcf8f0e68fe44bdcd
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.41
Total PnL
$-223.23
Realised
$-95.76
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$6.96
$1.96
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.45
$-4.55
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?
4963 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- KINOTROPE GAMING
Rainbow Six Siege: KINOTROPE gaming vs Dplus (BO3) - Asia-Pacific League Kickoff: North Playoffs
462 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-17.69
- NATUS VINCERE
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
156 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-43.75
- GAM ESPORTS
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
97 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-25.69
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?
29 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- GIMCHEON SANGMU FC
Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)
23 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.89
- NEMIGA GAMING
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
16 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$5.17Aug 17, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$20.80Aug 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$10.40Jul 28, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$10.21Jul 28, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage$4.90May 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A$1.02May 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage$2.04May 5, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A$2.05May 5, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)$1.03May 5, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$21.93Apr 29, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?$2.07Apr 28, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$10.27Apr 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$12.45Apr 28, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs$2.00Apr 25, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$5.00Apr 25, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$4.93Apr 24, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$4.38Apr 24, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: KINOTROPE gaming vs Dplus (BO3) - Asia-Pacific League Kickoff: North Playoffs$1.00Apr 24, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$1.00Apr 24, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$0.00Apr 24, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.