0xcf1adb9e5d9718d31f065c755389b810fc8c617e
0xcf1adb9e5d9718d31f065c755389b810fc8c617e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$43.91
Total PnL
$-42.91
Realised
$-8.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?$24.43Jul 24, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$23.54Jul 24, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?$3.19Jul 24, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$4.08Jul 24, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $0.00Jul 1, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00Jul 1, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $19.52Jun 6, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?$21.18Jun 6, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$40.90Jun 5, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$0.00May 9, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$0.00May 9, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$0.00May 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$11.81May 8, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$35.44May 2, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$47.73May 2, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$31.49Apr 16, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$31.28Apr 16, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.36Apr 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$3.51Apr 11, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.50Apr 11, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $24.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.