Milky-Lead
0xcf3df7008d4e8b145504a32b8afc5ba442ec56b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-511.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
452 shares @ 88.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$451.99
$51.99
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
460 shares @ 85.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$429.79
$36.79
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
228 shares @ 87.8¢·now 92.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.10
$11.10
- YES
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
230 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$200.06
$0.06
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
132 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$131.58
$31.58
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.63
$10.63
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.06
$8.06
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.78
$2.78
- YES
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
200 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$26.80
$4.80
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.04
$2.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.