Careful-Routine
0xcf51621abdde2f31effc160a3fbc2e8b1a3479fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$236.61
Total PnL
$-41.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
234 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$234.34
$24.04
- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$2.27
$-43.73
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
28 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$210.30Dec 13, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$110.29Dec 13, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$100.00Dec 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$109.25Dec 1, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$7.44Dec 1, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?$6.92Dec 1, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$2.97Dec 1, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$45.00Dec 1, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLHillary Clinton federally charged by December 31?$9.19Nov 30, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$46.00Nov 21, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$45.00Nov 10, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$89.00Nov 9, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?$0.00Nov 9, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$0.00Nov 9, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$3.14Nov 9, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?$16.03Nov 9, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern München win on 2025-11-01?$30.86Nov 9, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$47.47Nov 9, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$101.21Nov 9, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?$16.00Oct 30, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $36.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.