Reliable-Bonnet
0xcf54361bc20e79f8bb46b50c86002c25419fbe4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.27
Total PnL
$-12.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.20
$-5.80
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.44
$-3.56
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Jan 14, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$10.00Jan 8, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$1.00Jan 8, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 8, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 8, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 8, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 7, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?$1.00Jan 7, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 13:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".