Unrealistic-Motherinlaw
0xcf57c48dc6113d6ff29646e3a90f4e91d38286ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$23.76
Total PnL
$-3.35
Realised
$3.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.06
$0.05
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.09
$0.59
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$2.00Mar 1, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.33Mar 1, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 1, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 1, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$1.96Mar 1, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.39Mar 1, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?$3.00Feb 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 19, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?$1.00Jan 22, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.00Jan 22, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8PM ET$0.00Jan 8, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8PM ET$2.17Jan 8, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8PM ET$1.00Jan 8, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Greenland by March 31?$2.50Jan 8, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Jan 4, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Jan 4, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$1.00Jan 4, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$1.00Jan 4, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.