Sophisticated-Methane
0xcf5867c243594ca9737712511c726ed90992d9bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-12.31
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
1220 shares @ 51.2¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$579.50
$-44.70
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$146.25
$-1.25
- NO
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
100 shares @ 89.4¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$97.20
$7.80
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
89 shares @ 74.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$81.84
$15.24
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 92.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.41
$4.93
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.73
$4.22
- NO
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
50 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.25
$5.25
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
41 shares @ 74.0¢·now 81.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.10
$3.10
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 62.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$32.40
$7.60
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.10
$-0.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$150.00May 31, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.54May 31, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.54May 31, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 31, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06May 31, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$10.14May 31, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5$15.11May 31, 01:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.08May 31, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$270.00May 30, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$25.00May 30, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$99.99May 30, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$151.73May 30, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$105.03May 30, 21:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $62.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".