Ruddy-Roar
0xcf59019c11d12b42b1cfa078fb5bcbeedc8d0a34
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$498.74
$33.75
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$477.25
$17.25
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.75
$-272.25
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
500 shares @ 70.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.50
$-227.50
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
120 shares @ 77.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$102.60
$9.10
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
500 shares @ 30.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.50
$-77.50
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.00
$-155.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.50
$-81.50
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2648 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.03Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Negreanu Cash the WSOP Main Event 2026?$20.20Jul 26, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$4.48Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$42.82Jul 16, 02:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $81.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.