Assured-Bob
0xcf6f746cfbc2246592a25b9b14b767a0424725f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$72.02
Total PnL
$-311.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
434 shares @ 24.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.23
$-78.76
- NO
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
19 shares @ 26.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$19.11
$14.11
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-7.50
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$2.89
$-1.11
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.32
$0.32
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$-14.75
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$-8.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$40.87May 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.42May 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.24May 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.19May 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.19May 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$79.82May 14, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.19May 14, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.19May 14, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.19May 14, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.17May 14, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.18May 14, 11:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $16.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".