Vacant-Encyclopedia
0xcf7567fb6ca3f36be011642e3a08a5229df2b9f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.02
Total PnL
$-19.73
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
31 shares @ 10.1¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$-2.06
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
50 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in May?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
12 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.34May 15, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$2.08May 14, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.60May 13, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$2.10May 8, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.28May 7, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.07Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$1.04Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.04Apr 30, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.08Apr 30, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in May?$1.05Apr 30, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Apr 29, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 23:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.