Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in May?
Probability
3¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$25.18
Liquidity
$84.71
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $85 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 737.7h
Price movement
-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
8- 50¢-0.5pp
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in May?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 2¢0.0pp
Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Don Toliver have a #1 hit in May?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-1.0pp
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in May?
Science · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in May?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in May?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-0.1pp
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in May?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 89¢+3.5pp
Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?
Entertainment · Vol $1.05
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.