Back-Abacus
0xcf86f3574a8011f14c1cb49197da69e68a557ad9
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$483.55
Total PnL
$65.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
397 shares @ 37.8¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$216.20
$66.20
- YES
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
120 shares @ 58.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$69.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
391 shares @ 17.9¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$67.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
962 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.2¢·exp May 16, 2026$39.92
$-5.08
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
69 shares @ 40.4¢·now 50.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$34.86
$6.86
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
183 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
287 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.57
$-0.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$0.00May 14, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$25.65May 14, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$25.68May 14, 16:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?$337.50May 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?$30.49May 13, 17:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?$132.03May 12, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$26.88May 12, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$25.12May 12, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$51.45May 12, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?$209.10May 12, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.47May 12, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?$55.73May 12, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$15.72May 12, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$71.72May 12, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.75May 12, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?$40.77May 12, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $58.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".