0xcfce671c12abfabbe16b880c3b9a0b647edb7307
0xcfce671c12abfabbe16b880c3b9a0b647edb7307
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.40
Total PnL
$-30.21
Realised
$11.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
10 shares @ 10.3¢·now 8.8¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
8 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.17
$0.07
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
1636 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
1125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Nuggets
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?$2.18May 19, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$0.02May 17, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$1.08May 17, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$6.33May 17, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 12, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$2.30May 9, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 8, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5$1.03May 6, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?$1.07May 6, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$1.07May 6, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$1.07May 6, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.10May 5, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.01May 5, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.01May 4, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$4.50May 4, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.05May 4, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?$1.03May 4, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$2.00Apr 14, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$6.00Apr 14, 23:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".