Arid-Violin
0xcfce674567dea4e18c164d80dd11f3aca1c8b064
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$35.72
Total PnL
$-308.59
Realised
$3.07
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.59
$2.43
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.87
$-0.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 81.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
83 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-39.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
70 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
60 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-22.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
50 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.00Jun 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.01Jun 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.25Jun 3, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.01Jun 3, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$1.03Jun 3, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.01May 21, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01May 21, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 21, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 21, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?$1.02May 21, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?$1.02May 21, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$1.00May 6, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$1.00May 6, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?$1.00May 6, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?$1.00May 6, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$5.03May 6, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.07May 6, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.51Apr 26, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$3.05Apr 26, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$5.00Apr 22, 16:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $20.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".