Blue-Stimulus
0xcfd9d334098756213c7caf81f508337558a52c47
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$45.12
Total PnL
$-22.26
Realised
$-10.32
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
20 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$0.82
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
11 shares @ 98.0¢·now 89.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.28
$-0.96
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.82
$0.34
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 88.4¢·now 90.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.75
$0.05
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 88.8¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.27
$0.04
- YES
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 80% and 85%?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Pacto Histórico win <18 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
84 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.17
- YES
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 7.50% and 8.00%?
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-9.64
- NO
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
1 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$19.40Apr 20, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$0.16Mar 29, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?$17.80Mar 27, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?$10.15Mar 20, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9m?$0.00Mar 17, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9m?$0.04Mar 16, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 3% and 6.00%?$0.00Mar 16, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by 9% or more?$0.00Mar 16, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?$0.00Mar 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?$0.10Mar 15, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?$0.03Mar 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?$0.10Mar 15, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?$0.10Mar 15, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 14?$0.00Mar 15, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 14?$0.10Mar 14, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?$0.00Mar 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$0.10Mar 14, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$0.10Mar 14, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?$0.00Mar 14, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?$0.00Mar 14, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.