Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?
Probability
87¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$10.00
Liquidity
$44.93
Probability (last 7 days)
+48.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 87¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6011.4h
- 12:33SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 88¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 89¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 89¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 89¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 89¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 89¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 89¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 89¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 89¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 89¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 89¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.5pp
to 89¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.5pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 89¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 87¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 85¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 55.0pp
to 86¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 52.0pp
to 86¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 50.5pp
to 86¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to face in a UFC boutAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).