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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?

Probability

87¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$10.00

Liquidity

$44.93

Probability (last 7 days)

+48.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:33
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 87¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 7.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6011.4h

    LOW
  • 12:33Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 28.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 37.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 24.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 55.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 52.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 50.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to face in a UFC boutAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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