Alarming-Batter
0xd0135a522095fa92d2b42ec0fb5cd8ae05198b8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$71.78
Total PnL
$-88.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
11 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.00
$0.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.25
$1.25
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.00
$0.20
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 79.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.67
$-0.33
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.30
$0.30
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.01Jun 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$2.03Jun 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.03Jun 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 29, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 29, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.00May 29, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$5.07May 23, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.00May 23, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.02May 23, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 17, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.01May 17, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00May 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00May 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00May 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?$1.00May 2, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?$1.01May 2, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?$1.00May 2, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.00Apr 26, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".