Cautious-Chart
0xd015ad89fddcf3fb352075bb3baa073b90c96c59
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$26.85
Total PnL
$-27.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YULIA STARODUBTSEVA
Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.29
$1.01
- HALYS/HERBERT
Bordeaux (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Cukierman/Hilderbrand
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.83
$0.51
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.71
$-0.02
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.67
$-0.03
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.58
$0.05
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.54
$0.01
- NO
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.52
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.52
$0.00
- YES
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$-0.07
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.44
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYValencia (Doubles): Luz/Matos vs Kiger/Stalder$1.09May 15, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia (Doubles): Carabelli/Vallejo vs Frantzen/Haase$1.22May 15, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva$1.30May 15, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm$1.12May 15, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Cukierman/Hilderbrand$1.33May 15, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMOeiras 4: Eero Vasa vs Jaime Faria$1.31May 15, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBengaluru 2: Yuta Kawahashi vs Kriish Tyagi$1.39May 15, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMParma: Lucia Bronzetti vs Camila Osorio$1.52May 15, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMValencia: Henri Squire vs Daniel Altmaier$1.60May 15, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek$1.64May 15, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 14?$1.65May 15, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMParis: Alina Korneeva vs Katie Volynets$1.88May 15, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMZagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Harry Wendelken$1.99May 15, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMParma: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Dayana Yastremska$2.31May 15, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMZagreb: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Luka Pavlovic$2.55May 15, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$1.71May 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.73May 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$1.53May 13, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 14?$1.59May 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOeiras 4: Eero Vasa vs Jaime Faria$1.30May 13, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".