Melodic-Nightlight
0xd03cf97f1e631608883334b509fb57ee254068cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-939.87
Realised
$337.38
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3667 shares @ 48.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$151.20
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1697 shares @ 64.8¢·now 77.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$222.31
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2784 shares @ 52.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-373.33
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
2541 shares @ 51.6¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$990.80
$-319.20
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
2527 shares @ 33.6¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$416.89
$-433.11
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
406 shares @ 54.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$320.39
$101.39
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
1245 shares @ 29.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$261.43
$-100.12
- YES
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
1180 shares @ 21.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.08
$-19.92
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
476 shares @ 39.9¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$173.61
$-16.39
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1637 shares @ 18.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.93
$-128.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$183.86Jun 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$194.56Jun 11, 05:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$361.40Jun 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$4.25Jun 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$10.20Jun 10, 20:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?$121.08Jun 8, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$250.00Jun 8, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$700.00Jun 8, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$819.67Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$251.29Jun 6, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $479.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.