Careful-History
0xd083ab00b9fa2d802a077197ce057bbacd1deaa8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 30?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 13?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 10?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 8?
378 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 10?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?$42.75May 1, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?$60.00May 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?$76.23May 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$100.10May 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$100.01Apr 30, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?$76.02Apr 29, 10:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?$42.07Apr 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$319.90Apr 28, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?$99.18Apr 28, 13:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?$99.00Apr 27, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$320.00Apr 27, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 20-26?$67.06Apr 27, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 20-26?$67.00Apr 25, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?$126.12Apr 25, 12:14 UTC
- SPLITWill Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?$60.00Apr 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?$126.00Apr 24, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 24?$92.09Apr 24, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 24?$92.00Apr 23, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $82.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".