Big-Toenail
0xd08e8f5efb47d9ff61c30e9c8546f82f7f2a2f7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
7907 shares @ 22.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-542.64
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
2940 shares @ 13.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$338.05
$-65.95
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
3470 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-690.14
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
2703 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
2508 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
1346 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
1326 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-360.15
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$200.00Jun 13, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$104.00Jun 13, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$100.00Jun 13, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$7.71Jun 13, 07:33 UTC
- REWARD$2.36Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$238.26Jun 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$100.00Jun 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$200.00Jun 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$100.00Jun 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$100.00Jun 12, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$100.00Jun 12, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.00Jun 12, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.00Jun 12, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$229.58Jun 12, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$262.62Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$100.00Jun 12, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$100.00Jun 12, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$200.00Jun 12, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$110.00Jun 12, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$100.00Jun 12, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $134.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.