Impractical-Closet
0xd091a289c472c86fa8abffe18d580a35fb69e046
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$465.58
Total PnL
$-497.48
Realised
$-76.30
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- EVEN
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
456 shares @ 50.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$456.00
$226.18
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.76
$0.42
- NO
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.00
$0.28
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.16
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.18
- NO
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.32
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 9.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.93
$0.84
- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 32.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.85
$0.53
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.04
$-0.12
- YES
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMap 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?$229.82Apr 23, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$36.08Apr 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$40.92Apr 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$47.96Apr 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$85.56Apr 11, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$19.04Apr 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$79.98Apr 10, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$80.19Apr 9, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$102.06Apr 7, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.84Apr 3, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$1.00Apr 3, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers finish with the best record in the NBA?$100.00Apr 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$19.80Mar 29, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$18.60Mar 29, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$18.40Mar 29, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?$11.05Mar 26, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?$18.70Mar 26, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?$14.56Mar 25, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?$11.74Mar 24, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?$31.82Mar 23, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
32/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $128.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 12:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.