Bogus-Misrepresentation
0xd0bf186c69a936395c84d6b45bbd39eadfcf9f9f
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$101.15
Total PnL
$115.29
Realised
$207.69
Win rate
91%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Microsoft have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.60
$11.40
- YES
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
429 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$7.93
$0.61
- YES
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
332 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$6.64
$0.02
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
33 shares @ 2.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.33
$5.67
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
20 shares @ 22.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$4.39
$-0.17
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
2717 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.08
$-1.36
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.45
$2.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
70 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.15
$-1.05
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.0216m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.1755m ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.031h ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.026h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$1.416h ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$2.406h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.128h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.188h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.188h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.028h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.028h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.029h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.119h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.459h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.239h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.319h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14h ago
- Last active
- 16m ago
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
