Tired-Retina
0xd0ca95a975b47105864e62ba8cd95910ddff4166
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$189.74
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
254 shares @ 39.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$105.60
$5.60
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$46.05
$-3.95
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
26 shares @ 76.7¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$20.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
87 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
682 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.16
$-2.84
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
5651 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-299.99
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
3067 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- GUJARAT TITANS
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
1322 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
618 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
503 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$10.35Jun 14, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$10.39Jun 14, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 14, 08:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$51.62Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$102.43Jun 13, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$156.25Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$4.97Jun 12, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?$3.50Jun 12, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$101.44Jun 10, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$322.38Jun 10, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$103.69Jun 6, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?$92.59Jun 6, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$103.16Jun 6, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $70.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.